Wednesday, 10 April 2019


Sino-Indian relations a year after Doklam
Anil Bhat
The bilateral visit of China’s State Councilor and Defence Minister Gen. Wei Fenghe to India from 21- 24 August 2018 was marked by extensive discussions between him and Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman as well as Defence ministry and Army officials.
With this visit coming a year since Doklam’s bilateral resolution, and events thereafter, a look back is relevant.

On March 24, 2018, India's ambassador to China, Gautam Bambawale, reportedly denied reports of Chinese military stepping up the infrastructure in the disputed area of Doklam and added that the status quo in the area did not change.
                       
On the issue of the standoff, he said that it happened because Beijing tried to alter the status-quo. However, on March 26, 2018, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said that Doklam belongs to China and India should have learned lessons from the stand-off last year. The Chinese republic also claimed that its activities in the area are within its sovereign rights and there is no such thing as changing status quo. Then came the  “informal” summit of Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping in Wuhan, which was expected to stabilise the two nations' relationship.

On April 26, 2018, China's military spokesman, Col. Wu Qian reportedly, told the media in Beijing, "It is the common expectation of both peoples to stabilise relations between the Chinese and Indian armed forces and maintain peace and tranquility at the border areas." 

The Wuhan summit happened almost immediately after India’s maiden participation the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s  (SCO) 15th Defence Ministers Meeting held at Beijing on April 24, 2018.

Speaking at this meet Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted India’s keen interest in developing an expanded partnership with the broader Eurasian region. India sought to build on long-standing ties of deep mutual trust and confidence with Russia, vibrant historical and cultural linkages with countries of Central Asia and closer development partnership with China and to further enhance and deepen ties with all member countries for mutual benefit.

Mrs. Sitharaman said India would work with SCO partners to energize and revitalize age-old ties of affinity with countries of the region. She sought a forward-looking partnership based on robust dialogue and concrete initiatives to enhance economic, trade and cultural cooperation and mutually beneficial interactions on defence and security matters.

As an SCO member, India sees itself in a position to play a major role in addressing the threat of terrorism in the region. It is also keen on deepening its security-related cooperation with the SCO and its Regional Anti-Terrorism Structure (RATS) which specifically deals with issues relating to security and defence. 

Some basic essentials that India considers  most important are peace on the Line of Actual Control (LAC), without the almost daily border dispute issues, fair trade ties, ruffle-free politico-diplomatic relations and  good/social, business, cultural and educational exchanges.

For India and China, two large neighbours sharing very long borders, it simply does not make any sense to be involved in frequent dissent across the borders and enhancing the arms race. It will be of great benefit to peoples of both China and India if the former sincerely shifts from its hegemonic tendency to focus on trade, technical cooperation and all other mentioned progressive pursuits.

Considering the Chinese renewal of activity in at least North Doklam and intrusions in other sectors, in retrospect, the Wuhan meet leaves doubts about China’s and India’s serious intent. Certainly, China is aiming at greater engagement with India, borne out by India’s raised status in the SCO, but does not seem to be serious about abating its intrusions or meaningfully resolving the border issues.

It remains to be seen if the recent Defence Ministers’ meet and military hotline etc will have any significant effect.

The author, a former Defence Ministry and Indian Army spokesperson and strategic analyst, can be contacted at wordsword02@yahoo.com


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